A genome-wide meta-analysis yields 46 new loci associating with biomarkers of iron homeostasis

Publication: Communications Biology

E Allara, S Kaptoge, AM Wood, AS Butterworth, J Danesh, E Di Angelantonio et al

3 February 2021


Iron is essential for many biological functions and iron deficiency and overload have major health implications.

Here the researchers performed a meta-analysis of three genome-wide association studies from Iceland, the UK and Denmark of blood levels of ferritin, total iron binding capacity, iron and transferrin saturation.

They identified 46 novel loci affecting iron homeostasis and showed an association of five of these loci with IDA, a major clinical entity that hitherto has not been studied thoroughly from a genetic point of view.

This study reveals a substantial catalog of possible iron regulatory genes, awaiting further inquiry to fully elucidate their functional role.

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Diabetes Mellitus, Glycemic Traits, and Cerebrovascular Disease: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Publication: Neurology

Marios K. Georgakis, Eric L. Harshfield, Rainer Malik, Nora Franceschini, Claudia Langenberg, Nicholas J. Wareham, Hugh S. Markus, Martin Dichgans

25 January 2021


The researchers employed Mendelian randomization to explore the effects of genetic predisposition to type 2 diabetes (T2D), hyperglycemia, insulin resistance, and pancreatic β-cell dysfunction on risk of stroke subtypes and related cerebrovascular phenotypes.

This study supports causal effects of T2D and hyperglycemia on large artery and small vessel stroke. Genetically predicted insulin resistance and β-cell dysfunction are associated with large artery and small vessel stroke; this may have implications for antidiabetic treatments targeting these mechanisms.

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Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of changes to the surveillance intervals in the UK abdominal aortic aneurysm screening programme

Publication: Science Direct

Michael J. Sweeting, John Marshall, Matthew Glover, Akhtar Nasim, Matthew J. Bown

25 December 2020


The National Health Service Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Programme has been shown to be highly cost-effective. Recently, the prevalence of screen-detected abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) has fallen. If this trend continues, the cost-effectiveness of AAA screening is threatened.

One option to improve program cost-effectiveness is to extend the length of time between surveillance scans for men who are found to have AAA at screening. The potential safety and cost savings associated with such a change are unknown.

Extending the length of time between surveillance scans for men with screen-detected AAA in the Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Programme, especially for those with smaller AAAs, reduces the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year of the program. This is associated with a small increase in the number of adverse clinical events in the overall population of men invited for screening.

It is unclear whether the benefit of cost saving from refining surveillance strategies justifies the increased harms associated with such a change in clinical practice. Furthermore, realizing the benefits of minimized surveillance strategies for individual screening units may be difficult owing to the regional structure of the AAA screening workforce.

This study aimed to investigate the safety and cost-effectiveness of lengthening the time between surveillance ultrasound scans in the UK Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm (AAA) Screening Programme.

A discrete event simulation model was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of AAA screening for men aged 65, comparing current surveillance intervals to 6 alternative surveillance interval strategies that lengthened the time between surveillance scans for 1 or more AAA size categories. The model considered clinical events and costs incurred over a 30-year time horizon and the cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). The model adopted the National Health Service perspective and discounted future costs and benefits at 3.5%.

Compared with current practice, alternative surveillance strategies resulted in up to a 4% reduction in the number of elective AAA repairs but with an increase of up to 1.6% in the number of AAA ruptures and AAA-related deaths. Alternative strategies resulted in a small reduction in QALYs compared to current practice but with reduced costs. Two strategies that lengthened surveillance intervals in only very small AAAs (3.0-3.9 cm) provided, at a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20 000 per QALY, the highest positive incremental net benefit. There was negligible chance that current practice is the most cost-effective strategy at any threshold below £40,000 per QALY.

Lengthening surveillance intervals in the UK Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Screening Programme, especially for small AAA, can marginally reduce the incremental cost per QALY of the program. Nevertheless, whether the cost savings from refining surveillance strategies justifies a change in clinical practice is unclear.

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Comparison of four methods to measure haemoglobin concentrations in whole blood donors (COMPARE): A diagnostic accuracy study

Publication: Transfusion Medicine

Steven Bell, Michael Sweeting, Anna Ramond, Ryan Chung, Stephen Kaptoge, Matthew Walker, Thomas Bolton, Jennifer Sambrook, Carmel Moore, Amy McMahon, Sarah Fahle

20 December 2020


To safeguard donors, blood services measure haemoglobin concentration in advance of each donation. NHS Blood and Transplant’s (NHSBT) customary method have been capillary gravimetry (copper sulphate), followed by venous spectrophotometry (HemoCue) for donors failing gravimetry. However, NHSBT’s customary method results in 10% of donors being inappropriately bled (ie, with haemoglobin values below the regulatory threshold).

Here the researchers compared the following four methods in 21 840 blood donors (aged ≥18 years) recruited from 10 NHSBT centres in England, with the Sysmex XN‐2000 haematology analyser, the reference standard: (1) NHSBT’s customary method; (2) “post donation” approach, that is, estimating current haemoglobin concentration from that measured by a haematology analyser at a donor’s most recent prior donation; (3) “portable haemoglobinometry” (using capillary HemoCue); (4) non‐invasive spectrometry (using MBR Haemospect or Orsense NMB200). The team assessed sensitivity; specificity; proportion who would have been inappropriately bled, or rejected from donation (“deferred”) incorrectly; and test preference.

Compared with the reference standard, the methods ranged in test sensitivity from 17.0% (MBR Haemospect) to 79.0% (portable haemoglobinometry) in men, and from 19.0% (MBR Haemospect) to 82.8% (portable haemoglobinometry) in women.

For specificity, the methods ranged from 87.2% (MBR Haemospect) to 99.9% (NHSBT’s customary method) in men, and from 74.1% (Orsense NMB200) to 99.8% (NHSBT’s customary method) in women. The proportion of donors who would have been inappropriately bled ranged from 2.2% in men for portable haemoglobinometry to 18.9% in women for MBR Haemospect. The proportion of donors who would have been deferred incorrectly with haemoglobin concentration above the minimum threshold ranged from 0.1% in men for NHSBT’s customary method to 20.3% in women for OrSense. Most donors preferred non‐invasive spectrometry.

In the largest study reporting head‐to‐head comparisons of four methods to measure haemoglobin prior to blood donation, the results support replacement of NHSBT’s customary method with portable haemoglobinometry.

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The medium-term impact of COVID-19 lockdown on referrals to secondary care mental health services: a controlled interrupted time series study

Publication: Frontiers in Psychiatry

Chen S, She R, Qin P, Kershenbaum A, Fernández-Egea E, Nelder JR, Ma C, Lewis JR, Wang C, Cardinal RN

26 November 2020


To date, there is a paucity of information regarding the effect of COVID-19 or lockdown on mental disorders.

In this study researchers aimed to quantify the medium-term impact of lockdown on referrals to secondary care mental health clinical services.

They conducted a controlled interrupted time series study using data from Cambridgeshire and Peterborough NHS Foundation Trust (CPFT), UK (catchment population ~0.86 million).

The UK lockdown resulted in an instantaneous drop in mental health referrals but then a longer-term acceleration in the referral rate. This acceleration was primarily for urgent or emergency referrals, including referrals to liaison psychiatry and mental health crisis teams. The acceleration was significant for females, males, working-age adults, people of White ethnicity, those living alone, and those who had pre-existing depression, severe mental illness, hypertension / cardiovascular / cerebrovascular disease, personality disorders, asthma / chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dyslipidemia, anxiety, substance misuse or reactions to severe stress.

No significant post-lockdown acceleration was observed for children / adolescents, older adults, people of ethnic minorities, married / cohabiting people, and those who had previous / pre-existing dementia, diabetes, cancer, eating disorder, a history of self-harm or intellectual disability. This evidence may help service planning and policy-making, including preparation for any future lockdown in response to outbreaks.

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Discovery of rare variants associated with blood pressure regulation through meta-analysis of 1.3 million individuals

Publication: Nature Genetics

Praveen Surendran, Joanna M. M. Howson et al

23 November 2020


Increased blood pressure (BP) is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and related disability worldwide. Identifying biological pathways associated with blood pressure is important to understand the aetiology of CVD.

In this study involving collaborators from across the globe, and participants from diverse ancestries, researchers investigated whether genetic variants that a small proportion of people carry have an impact on blood pressure regulation and more readily implicate the genes underlying blood pressure regulation.

They identified 87 such genetic variants influencing blood pressure regulation that only a small proportion of people carry. In addition to identifying novel candidate genes associated with blood pressure, they showed a potential link between foetal development and an inverse relationship between systolic and diastolic blood pressure with stroke.

As shown in this study, a complex outcome like blood pressure requires large sample sizes to detect genetic variation associated with blood pressure that are rare in humans; studies to date have mainly looked at genetic variants that are carried by many people and therefore have very small effects on blood pressure regulation.

This study contributes to a significant improvement in researchers’ understanding of key genes controlling a risk factor like BP so they can better understand complex diseases like CVD and help identify new blood pressure therapies.

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Investigation of risk of dementia diagnosis and death in patients in older people’s secondary care mental health services

Publication: International Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry

Kershenbaum A, Cardinal RN, Chen S, Underwood B, Seyedsalehi A, Lewis JR, Rubinsztein JS

4 November 2020


Previous studies have shown increased rates of death and dementia in older people in specific serious mental illnesses (SMI) such as bipolar disorder or depression.

In this study researchers examined the rates of death and dementia in older people referred into a secondary care psychiatric service across a range of SMIs, using an anonymised dataset across 6 consecutive years with 28,340 patients aged 65 years and older from a single secondary care psychiatric trust in the United Kingdom.

They identified deaths and incident dementia in patients with bipolar disorder/mania, schizophrenia, recurrent depression and anxiety disorders. They compared mortality and dementia rates between these diagnostic groups and in different treatment settings, and also examined mortality rates and dementia rates compared with general population rates.

Patients with schizophrenia showed the highest hazard rate for death compared to other groups with SMIs. Survival was reduced in patients referred to liaison psychiatry services. There were no significant differences between the SMI groups in terms of rates of dementia. However, risks of death and dementia were significantly increased compared to the general population; and older adults referred into an old age psychiatry service showed higher rates of dementia and death than those reported for the general population.

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Distinguishing between dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB) and Alzheimer’s disease (AD) using mental health records: a classification approach

Publication: ACL Anthology

Wang Z, Ive J, Moylett S, Mueller C, Cardinal RN, Velupillai S, O’Brien J, Stewart R

1 November 2020


While Dementia with Lewy Bodies (DLB) is the second most common type of neurodegenerative dementia following Alzheimer’s Disease (AD), it is difficult to distinguish from AD.

Here the researchers propose a method for DLB detection by using mental health record (MHR) documents from a (3-month) period before a patient has been diagnosed with DLB or AD. The objective is to develop a model that could be clinically useful to differentiate between DLB and AD across datasets from different healthcare institutions.

The researchers cast this as a classification task using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), an efficient neural model for text classification. They experiment with different representation models, and explore the features that contribute to model performances.

In addition, they apply temperature scaling, a simple but efficient model calibration method, to produce more reliable predictions. They believe the proposed method has important potential for clinical applications using routine healthcare records, and for generalising to other relevant clinical record datasets.

To the best of the team’s knowledge, this is the first attempt to distinguish DLB from AD using mental health records, and to improve the reliability of DLB predictions.

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The early impact of COVID-19 on mental health and community physical health services and their patients’ mortality in Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, UK

Publication: Journal of Psychiatric Research

Chen S, Jones PB, Underwood BR, Moore A, Bullmore ET, Banerjee S, Osimo EF, Deakin JB, Hatfield CF, Thompson FJ, Artingstall JD, Slann MP, Lewis JR, Cardinal RN

22 September 2020


COVID-19 has affected social interaction and healthcare worldwide.

Here researchers examined changes in presentations and referrals to the primary provider of mental health and community health services in Cambridgeshire and Peterborough, UK (population ~0·86 million), plus service activity and deaths.

They conducted interrupted time series analyses with respect to the time of UK “lockdown”, which was shortly before the peak of COVID-19 infections in this area, and examined changes in standardized mortality ratio for those with and without severe mental illness (SMI).

Referrals and presentations to nearly all mental and physical health services dropped at lockdown, with evidence for changes in both supply (service provision) and demand (help-seeking).

This was followed by an increase in demand for some services. This pattern was seen for all major forms of presentation to liaison psychiatry services, except for eating disorders, for which there was no evidence of change.

Inpatient numbers fell, but new detentions under the Mental Health Act were unchanged. Many services shifted from face-to-face to remote contacts. Excess mortality was primarily in the over-70s. There was a much greater increase in mortality for patients with SMI, which was not explained by ethnicity.

In conclusion, the research showed that COVID-19 has been associated with a system-wide drop in the use of mental health services, with some subsequent return in activity. “Supply” changes may have reduced access to mental health services for some. “Demand” changes may reflect a genuine reduction of need or a lack of help-seeking with pent-up demand. There has been a disproportionate increase in death among those with SMI during the pandemic.

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Causes of death in clozapine-treated patients in a catchment area: a 10-year retrospective case-control study

Publication: European Neuropsychopharmacology

Rose E, Chen S, Turrion C, Jenkins C, Cardinal RN, Fernández-Egea E

17 September 2020


Approximately one-third of patients presenting with a first episode of psychosis need long-term support, but there is a limited understanding of the sociodemographic or biological factors that predict this outcome. ]

Researchers used electronic health records from a naturalistic cohort of consecutive patients referred to an early intervention in psychosis service to address this question.

They extracted data on demographic (age, sex, ethnicity and marital status), immune and metabolic factors at baseline, and subsequent need for long-term secondary (specialist) psychiatric care.

Of 749 patients with outcome data available, 447 (60%) had a good outcome and were discharged to primary care, while 302 (40%) required follow-up by secondary mental health services indicating a worse outcome.

The need for ongoing secondary mental healthcare was associated with high triglyceride levels, a low basophil:lymphocyte ratio, and a high monocyte count at baseline.

In conclusion, the research provides evidence that triglyceride levels and several blood cell counts measured at presentation may be clinically useful markers of long-term prognosis for first episode psychosis in clinical settings. These findings will require replication.

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